Although current capital market terms are putting downward pressure on values, the full impact of these conditions is tempered by the expectation of a return to more favorable terms in the relatively near future. The opportunity to refinance in the near-to-mid term provides an equity investor with a return of a portion of their initial investment, which supports a lower blended discount rate—and higher value—than indicated by a weighted average cost of capital based on current mortgage terms.
The ALIS Conference came and went this week, bringing Downtown L.A. hotels to life with optimism and hope that normal for the hotel industry is coming in the not-too-distant future. Here are some collective takeaways from our team that was in attendance.
Consistently ranked as one of the top lodging markets in the United States, San Francisco is now one of the cities most affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. From the 1849 Gold Rush to the present day, San Francisco has been known for its boom-and-bust economy, and a full recovery from the current downturn is expected, as in years past. This article explores recent lodging trends for San Francisco and offers a high-level perspective on the road to recovery.
Following waves of asset of appreciation, the pendulum has swung, and many hotels will be facing significant value declines in the current economic climate. As owners look for every way to reduce operating expenses, they should remain vigilant to pending fluctuations in real property assessment levels and proactive on appealing their assessments, if warranted.
With the advent of the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S. in early to mid-March 2020, hotel owners and managers watched demand for their rooms suddenly evaporate. Since then, tough decisions have been made regarding whether to remain open or temporarily suspend operations. Hotels that have temporarily suspended operations now need to decide when to reopen. This article addresses the considerations to be weighed in this process and provides one example of the calculus for a hypothetical hotel.
The COVID-19 pandemic and the related restrictions on travel, business activity, and individual movement are having an unprecedented impact on our industry and economy. Hotel owners, operators, lenders, and investors are all facing greater challenges than ever anticipated, as they grapple with plummeting occupancy, average rate (ADR), and RevPAR and seek solutions to mitigate the impact on EBITDA.
Supported by lower interest rates, transaction activity held up during a year of uncertainty. This article addresses recent trends in hotel sales and capitalization rates, the course of hotel values since the last downturn, and the outlook for 2020.
The 41st NYU International Hospitality Industry Investment Conference wrapped up on June 4, 2019, and the overall sentiment of the event was one of caution, a shift from a sentiment of cautious optimism at conferences earlier in the year.